Search Results for in-service stress prediction

The morphology of γ/γ' microstructures in single crystal superalloys is known to evolve during service conditions according to established materials science principles, potentially offering a novel approach for failure analysis. This study investigated the morphological changes in γ/γ' microstructures of CMSX-4, a single crystal Ni-base superalloy, under various loading conditions. The experimental parameters included tensile and compressive stress levels, loading temperature, loading rate, monotonic versus cyclic loading, and multi-axial stress states. Results demonstrated that the γ/γ' microstructures exhibited highly sensitive responses to these loading conditions. A newly developed quantitative image analysis method was used to characterize these morphological changes, and the findings were compiled into a two-dimensional map to facilitate failure analysis and other engineering applications.

This work concerns a study into the design of creep resistant precipitation hardened austenitic steels for fossil fuel power plants using an integrated thermodynamics based model in combination with a genetic algorithm optimization routine. The key optimization parameter is the secondary stage creep strain at the intended service temperature and time, taking into account the coarsening rate of MX carbonitrides and its effect on the threshold stress for secondary creep. The creep stress to reach a maximal allowed creep strain (taken as 1%) at a given combination of service temperature and time is formulated and maximized. The model was found to predict the behavior of commercial austenitic creep resistant steels rather accurately. Using the alloy optimization scheme three new steel compositions are presented yielding optimal creep strength for various intended service times up to 105 hours. According to the evaluation parameter employed, the newly defined compositions will outperform existing precipitate strengthened austenitic creep resistant steels.

The extrapolation of short-term laboratory test results to predict long-term high-temperature component failure remains challenging, particularly for P91 steel due to its phase transformation during extended service and susceptibility to type IV cracking. While the NSW model successfully predicts creep crack growth bounds using short to medium-term test data (<10,000 hours), recent literature suggests materials may exhibit more brittle behavior and reduced failure strain in longer-term tests. This study examines whether the NSW model, using short-term uniaxial data, can effectively predict these long-term behavioral changes for more accurate service life assessment.

Recent evidence suggests that using hardness as the sole acceptance criterion for Grade 91 steels is inadequate for predicting service performance. Components can achieve acceptable initial hardness values through heat treatment despite suboptimal elemental composition, leading to poor tempering resistance and unexpectedly low creep strength during service. Paradoxically, some components with lower initial hardness may perform better due to slower degradation rates. While the relationship between parent material properties and Type IV cracking susceptibility remains under investigation, heat-affected zones (HAZ) in welds are emerging as primary locations for service failures. This complexity emphasizes the need for comprehensive evaluation criteria incorporating stress, temperature, and material properties when assessing component serviceability.

Grade 91 steel, while increasingly popular in high-temperature power plants for both retrofit and new construction applications, faces significant challenges with Type IV cracking at the outer parent side edge of the weld heat affected zone. This structural integrity issue has led to extensive weld inspection requirements and, in severe cases, the premature replacement of grade 91 retrofit headers before their intended design life. This paper presents a method for estimating Type IV cracking timelines in operating grade 91 components by analyzing crossweld Type IV data to determine when Type IV life deviates from parent life. By combining test results from various temperatures, the method generates a generalized prediction of Type IV life that can be extrapolated to any temperature of interest, providing a practical lower bound estimate for service life of the weakest grade 91 material. This approach, which can be applied to service operating conditions to establish realistic inspection timelines for plant components, has already successfully identified early-stage Type IV cracking in two retrofit headers and is being expanded to additional grade 91 components.

Due to their excellent high temperature oxidation resistance, utilities worldwide are adopting advanced austenitic stainless steels (A-ASS) for critical plant components, such as heat exchangers, as they aim to achieve higher operating conditions. However, challenges may be encountered in developing life assessment and life management strategies for such components. This is because conventional methods used for life assessment, such as measuring steam side oxide scale thickness in ferritic and conventional austenitic material to predict tube metal temperature, may not be successfully applied to A-ASS. In such instances, tracking the formation and evolution of microstructural features during service, may offer a possible method to predict the temperature of these steels. For such metallurgy based lifing strategy to be successful, it is essential to develop a good understanding of microstructure evolution in these steels. In this work one heat of Super 304H, that has been creep tested at 600°C, 650°C and 700°C, with applied stress ranging from 110 to 340 MPa, is characterized using a combination of advanced characterization tools and image analysis methods. The amount of sigma phase formed at the gauge and grip sections of the samples is quantified and the methodology used to quantify this phase is presented. From the results, a time-temperature-transformation diagram for sigma formation is developed.

New Monte Carlo models have recently been developed to predict microstructural evolution in steels and aluminum alloys during heat treatment and high-temperature service. These models can control precipitate type and size distribution, distinguishing between pure lattice and grain boundaries. Consequently, they can forecast the precipitate size distribution within grains and on grain boundaries as a function of time. This paper describes the model validation for ferritic Fe-9Cr P92 steels. The model provides new information over a range of time intervals adding up to the total plant lifetime in an ultra-supercritical plant. This information can be incorporated into continuum damage mechanics models for predicting creep rate and stress rupture life. The paper discusses how this technique is used as a materials development tool to forecast necessary compositional modifications for improving creep properties in ferritic steels.

There are main drivers for the design and assessment of steam turbine components of today such as demands for improved materials, higher plant cycling operation, and reduced life-cycle costs. New materials have been developed over the last decades resulting in advanced martensitic 9-10CrMoV steels already applied in different types of turbines successfully. Heavy cyclic loading getting more importance than in the past results in utilization of the fatigue capabilities at high and low temperatures which might lead to crack initiation and subsequent crack propagation. Fracture mechanics methods and evaluation concepts have demonstrated their applicability to assess the integrity of components with defects or crack-like outage findings. Based on realistic modelling of the failure mechanism, accurate prediction of crack sizes at failure state can be improved defining the appropriate damage criteria. Ductility is a main aspect for robust design but its value definition can depend on component type, design rules, real loading conditions, service experience, and material characteristics. The question which direct material parameter is able to serve as limit value in design and how it can be determined has to be solved. Examples of advanced analysis methods for creep crack growth and fatigue interaction involving the crack initiation time show that the reserves of new martensitic 9-10Cr steels in high temperature application can be well quantified. The creep rupture elongation A u and the loading conditions in the crack far field are main factors. If the A u value is sufficient high also after long-time service, the material remains robust against cracks. Investigations into the influence of stress gradients on life time under fatigue and creep fatigue conditions show that e.g. for 10CrMoWV rotor steel crack growth involvement offers further reserves. The consideration of constraint effect in fracture mechanics applied to suitable materials allows for further potentials to utilize margin resulting from classical design. The new gained knowledge enables a more precise determination of component life time via an adapted material exploitation and close interaction with advanced design rules.

Conventional time-temperature-parameter (TTP) methods often overestimate long-term creep rupture life of creep strength enhanced high Cr ferritic steels. The cause of the overestimation is studied on the basis of creep rupture data analysis on Gr.91, 92 and 122 steels. There are four regions with different values of stress exponent n for creep rupture life commonly in stress-rupture data of the three ferritic steels. Activation energies Q for rupture life in the regions take at least three different values. The values of n and Q decrease in a longer-term region. The decrease in Q value is the cause of the overestimation of long-term rupture life predicted by the conventional TTP methods neglecting the change in Q value. Therefore, before applying a TTP method creep rupture data should be divided into several data sets so that Q value is unique in each divided data set. When this multi-region analysis is adopted, all the data points of the steels can be described accurately, and their long-term creep life can be evaluated correctly. Substantial heat-to-heat and grade-to-grade variation in their creep strength is suggested under recent service conditions of USC power boilers.

The localized creep failure in the heat-affected zone (HAZ) of Grade 91 steel weldments has been identified as one of the most important factors causing significantly shortened service lifetime and structural integrity issues of welded components in advanced fossil and nuclear power plants. To conduct a reliable creep lifetime assessment, a new engineering assessment approach has been developed by incorporating the experimentally determined local properties of the heterogeneous HAZ. By creep testing a purposely simulated HAZ specimen with in situ digital image correlation (DIC) technique, the highly gradient creep properties across the HAZ of Grade 91 steel was quantitatively measured. A physical creep cavitation constitutive model was proposed to investigate the local creep deformation and damage accumulation within the heterogeneous HAZ, which takes into account the nucleation of creep cavities and their growth by both grain boundary diffusion and creep deformation. The relationship among the local material property, creep strain accumulation, and evolution characteristic of creep cavities was established. The approach was then utilized to investigate the creep response and subsequent life for an ex-service 9% Cr steel weldment by incorporating the effects of pre-existing damages which developed and accumulated during long-term services. The predicted results exhibited quantitative agreement with the DIC measurement in terms of both nominal/local creep deformation as well as the subsequent life under the test conditions at 650 and 80 MPa.

This work deals with the potential of microstructurally based modeling of the creep deformation of martensitic steels. The motivation for the work stems from the ever increasing demand for higher efficiency and better reliability of modern thermal power plants. Service temperatures of 600°C and stress levels up to 100 MPa are currently the typical requirements on critical components. High creep and oxidation resistance are the main challenges for a lifetime 10+ years in steam atmosphere. New materials may fulfill these requirements; however, the save prediction of the creep resistance is a difficult challenge. The model presented in this work takes into consideration the initial microstructure of the material, its evolution during thermal and mechanical exposure and the link between microstructural evolution and creep deformation rate. The model includes the interaction between the relevant microstructural constituents such as precipitates, grain- lath- and subgrain boundaries and dislocations. In addition, the material damage is included into the model. The applicability of the model is then demonstrated on standard creep resistant alloys. Contrary to phenomenological models, this approach can be tested against microstructural data of creep loaded samples and thus provides higher reliability. Nevertheless, potential improvements are discussed and future developments are outlined.

The creep-fatigue properties of modified 9Cr-1Mo (grade 91) steel have been investigated for the purpose of design in cyclic service. In this paper test results from creep-fatigue (CF) and low cycle fatigue (LCF) on grade 91 steel are reported. The tests performed on the high precision pneumatic loading system (HIPS) are in the temperature range of 550-600ºC, total strain range of 0.7-0.9% and with hold periods in both tension and compression. Curves of cyclic softening and stress relaxation are presented. The CF test results and results obtained from literature are also analysed using methods described in the assessment and design codes of RCC-MRx, R5 and ASME NH as well as by the recently developed Φ-model. It is shown that the number of cycles to failure for CF data can be accurately predicted by the simple Φ-model. The practicality in using the life fraction rule for presenting the combined damage is discussed and recommendations for alternative approaches are made.

As long term laboratory creep data became available the original estimates of the allowable stresses for creep strength enhanced ferritic steels (CSEF) had to be reduced. Thus, even in properly processed steel, the long term performance and creep rupture strength is below that originally predicted from a simple extrapolation of short term data. One of the microstructural degradation mechanisms responsible for the reduction in strength is the development of creep voids. Nucleation, growth and inter linkage of voids also result in a significant loss of creep ductility. Indeed, elongations to rupture of around 5% in 100,000 hours are now considered normal for long term creep tests on many CSEF steels. This relatively brittle behaviour, and the associated creep void development, promotes burst rather than leak type fracture in components. Moreover, the existence of significant densities of voids further complicates in-service assessment of condition and weld repair of these steels. The present paper examines background on the nucleation and development of creep voids in 9 to 12%Cr martensitic steels and discusses factors affecting brittle behavior.

The mechanical behavior of a cast form of an advanced austenitic stainless steel, CF8C-Plus, is compared with that of its wrought equivalent in terms of both tensile and creep-rupture properties and estimated allowable stress values for pressurized service at temperatures up to about 850°C. A traditional Larson-Miller parametric model is used to analyze the creep-rupture data and to predict long-term lifetimes for comparison of the two alloy types. The cast CF8C-Plus exhibited lower yield and tensile strengths, but higher creep strength compared to its wrought counterpart. Two welding methods, shielded-metal-arc welding (SMAW) and gas-metal-arc welding, met the weld qualification acceptance criteria in ASME BPVC Section IX for the cast CF8C-Plus. However, for the wrought CF8C-Plus, while SMAW and gas-tungsten-arc welding passed the tensile acceptance criteria, they failed the side bend tests due to lack of fusion or weld metal discontinuities.

This paper reports the results of a collaborative small scale creep testing exercise carried out by the UK generating companies Centrica, SSE, Engie and RWE as part of an investigation of an ex-service grade 91 bend.

This paper reports the results of a collaborative investigation of an ex-service grade 91 bend carried out by the UK generating companies Centrica, SSE, Engie and RWE. As part of the handover exercise for Centrica’s Langage power station in 2009 a number of routine checks were carried out on the main steam and hot reheat grade 91 steam pipework. In some cases low hardness readings were found with subsequent metallurgical replication showing the presence of an aberrant non martensitic microstructure. This led to a more extensive inspection programme on the steam lines and the discovery of other areas of suspect material. A review of the operating capability of the plant, including detailed pipework stress analysis and a pipework peaking assessment, along with the assumption that lower strength grade 91 material was present, led to the steam lines being down rated and returning to service under these revised conditions. At the first C inspection in December 2012, after the HRSG and associated pipework had operated for 18720 hours, a bend with a soft weld, along with a section of the straight pipe on either side, was removed from service. An investigation was undertaken to establish how long this component would have survived, had it been left in service, and to consider the implications for the future operation of the plant.

The paper describes methods for practical high temperature weldment life assessment, and their application to the analysis of notable high energy piping weldment failures and interpretation of cross-weld data. The methods described in the paper are simplified versions of full continuum damage mechanics (CDM) analysis techniques which have been developed over the last 20 years. The complexity of the CDM methods and their data requirements has been a barrier to their more widespread use. The need for simplified methods has been driven by the need for risk assessment of in-service high temperature welded piping and headers around the world, the need to connect cross-weld data to weld joint design and assessment, and in general, the need to develop suitable guidelines for evaluating the strength of weldments relative to that of base metal.

A comprehensive EPRI initiative launched in 2006 has addressed the critical need to better understand creep-fatigue interactions in power plants experiencing cyclic operation. This international collaboration of industry experts has focused on evaluating current test methods, analyzing crack initiation and growth methodologies, examining life prediction approaches for various applications, identifying deficiencies in creep-fatigue damage assessment, and determining future research requirements. This paper presents key findings from the project, with particular attention to the performance of creep-strengthened ferritic steels, specifically Grade 91 and 92 steels, providing essential insights for power plants facing increasingly demanding operational conditions.

Due to a high degree of mixing between substrate and weld deposit, fusion welding of dissimilar metal joints functionally produce new, uncharacterized alloys. In the power generation industry, such mixing during the application of cobalt-based hardfacing has led to a disconcerting number of failures characterized by the hard overlay welds disbonding. Investigations into this failure mechanism point to the unknown alloy beneath the surface of the hardfacing layer transforming, hardening, and becoming brittle during service. This research describes a methodology for exploring a chemical space to identify alloy combinations that are expected to be safe from deleterious phase formation. Using thermodynamic modeling software and a stepped approach to potential chemistries, the entire phase stability space over the full extent of possible mixing between substrate and weld material can be studied. In this way diffusion effects – long term stability – can also be accounted for even in the case where mixing during application is controlled to a low level. Validation of predictions specific to the hardfacing system in the form of aged weld coupons is also included in this paper. Though the application of this methodology to the hardfacing problem is the focus of this paper, the method could be used in other weld- or diffusion- combinations that are expected to operate in a high temperature regime.

Enhanced life assessment methods contribute to the long-term operation of high-temperature components by reducing technical risks and increasing economic benefits. This study investigates creep-fatigue behavior under multi-stage loading, including cold start, warm start, and hot start cycles, as seen in medium-loaded power plants. During hold times, creep and stress relaxation accelerate crack initiation. Creep-fatigue life can be estimated using a modified damage accumulation rule that incorporates the fatigue fraction rule for fatigue damage and the life fraction rule for creep damage while accounting for mean stress effects, internal stress, and creep-fatigue interaction. In addition to generating advanced creep, fatigue, and creep-fatigue data, scatter band analyses are necessary to establish design curves and lower-bound properties. To improve life prediction methods, further advancements in deformation and lifetime modeling are essential. Verification requires complex experiments under variable creep conditions and multi-stage creep-fatigue interactions. A key challenge remains the development of methods to translate uniaxial material properties to multiaxial loading scenarios. Additionally, this study introduces a constitutive material model, implemented as a user subroutine for finite element applications, to simulate start-up and shut-down phases of components. Material parameter identification has been achieved using neural networks.