Validation of Creep Crack Growth NSW Model in Extrapolating Short-Term Laboratory Test Results to Longer-Term Service Component Failure Prediction Free

The extrapolation of short-term laboratory test results to predict long-term high-temperature component failure remains challenging, particularly for P91 steel due to its phase transformation during extended service and susceptibility to type IV cracking. While the NSW model successfully predicts creep crack growth bounds using short to medium-term test data (<10,000 hours), recent literature suggests materials may exhibit more brittle behavior and reduced failure strain in longer-term tests. This study examines whether the NSW model, using short-term uniaxial data, can effectively predict these long-term behavioral changes for more accurate service life assessment.